The Club Of Rome’s Predictions: How Accurate Are They?

Via DW:

Fourty years ago, the Club of Rome released “The limits of growth.” Now, it has released another look into the future. But how accurate are such predictions?

In its latest publication “2052—a Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years, the Club of Rome takes a bold look into the future. The 66 scientists and economists that make up the club predict—similarly to their first report (“The limits of growth”) in 1972—that the current economic development could soon tip over. But differing from their view back then, they now put climate change at the heart of their study. Their prognosis is mainly influenced by the assumption that a warming of more than 2.5 degrees Celsius is likely: There will be more floods, draughts and climate extremes.

The use of fossile energy is still on the rise. The goal to keep the global temperature rise under 2 percent will probably not be reached, the report concludes. It won’t be before 2030 that a reduction of CO2 emissions would be realized and even that would only work if governments continue pushing for a move away from fossil fuels…

Read More: DW

, , , , , ,

  • Anarchy Pony

    Don’t worry knuckle draggers, it’s all just an illuminati liberal conspiracy to destroy your prosperity. It’s not simply a recommendation to turn society on to a sustainable path that won’t lead to inevitable self destruction through global war and ecological destruction. 

    • charlieprimero

      I figured this “report” was merely another fear campaign selling global statist oligarchy.  Thanks man for saving me the trouble of reading it.

    • Eric Holder

          Were you able to grasp the lesson of the article?  These old geezers were unable to grasp the complexity and fluidity of the human community 40 years ago, and thus failed in their predictions.  They are just as likely to fumble their latest episode of Nostradamus rapture-porn.  If you like your ecological tidbits laced with political elitism, then of course you would accept this garbage as your Bible.
                But for a self-proclaimed anarchist, how can you defend a “club” that praises China for it’s ability to implement policies easier because of it’s undemocratic structure?  Or do you just hate independent thinkers to the extent that you will pimp anything the royal think-tanks hand you?

      • IgnorantCretinSaysWhat

        Wow dude, you are an imbecile. Go worship at your alter of man is god, and can do no wrong. i’ll be over here in the real world watching actual consequences of actual actions, instead of believing in make believe techno worshiper fantasies of perpetual growth, and the ability to constantly prop up a decaying system with new ever shinier sticks.

        • ab0032

          You seem to have no clue of what is going on in the real world.
          The ecologists are forcing policies on us that accelerate the destruction of rain forests and bio-diversity while preventing abundant clean and safe energy. Today 40% of global corn is turned into fuel, while only 12% goes to the people to eat.

          This antihumanist policy is killing over 100.000 of the poorest in the world, who have to live of $1.50 or less a day. Every year.

          If nuclear had not been prevented millions of people would not have had to die from air pollution. Already today nuclear has saved 1.8 million lives. The EU and the USA should be building 2500 nuclear power plants as fast as possible.

          http://www.amazon.com/Merchants-Despair-Environmentalists-Pseudo-Scientists-Antihumanism/dp/1594034761

          And capitalism is lifting millions out of poverty every month.

    • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_S44FHKC2JIS3HFQNFWBGFWTIEU mark

      people like you lined up for the train to Auschwitz. You’ll line up again for whatever “kitchen soup” vaccination thing the mad scientists funded by Gates come up with.

  • Bingo

    I predict people will always try to predict the end of times. Call me now for a free reading!

    • Rusty_Beaumont

      In the past 100 years, we’ve had the world’s two biggest wars, a global depression and we were close to wiping out humanity through nuclear conflict with Russia on several occasions.

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_S44FHKC2JIS3HFQNFWBGFWTIEU mark

    I was force-fed this drivel in college in the 70s. Not long after economic heretic Julian Simon bet “Population Bomb” Paul Ehrlich that a list of resource prices would go down, not up; well here’s what happened:
    Simon put his money where his mouth was. In 1980, he challenged Ehrlich to make a bet.
    He allowed Ehrlich to pick any five metals he wished and predicted that
    the cost of those metals would decrease by 1990 rather than – as
    Ehrlich held – climbing to heights that would prove the alarmist case
    right: that depletion of mineral resources would make some natural
    resources unaffordable. Ehrlich eagerly took the wager and, with the
    help of fellow alarmists John Harte and John Holdren, picked tin,
    nickel, tungsten, chromium and copper as its basis. Ten years came and
    went and, in 1990, the results were in: Simon won, across the board.
    Note that is White House science advisor “head up his ass” Holdren, who did in fact write in a book now out of print that the authorities would be forced to consider measures such as putting sterilization agents in the water (some people think flouride qualifies). 
    Disturbingly, it appears the elites are bound and determined to make this all come true by any means necessary. The same monied interests that once teamed up with Woodrow Wilson’s administration and  eugenicist Margaret Sanger to promote forced sterilization today fund all the most radical, race nationalist organizations committed to destroying the United States’ white majority. (That would be among others, the Rockefellers and such more recent luminaries as George Soros and Bill Gates.) 

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_S44FHKC2JIS3HFQNFWBGFWTIEU mark

    I was force-fed this drivel in college in the 70s. Not long after economic heretic Julian Simon bet “Population Bomb” Paul Ehrlich that a list of resource prices would go down, not up; well here’s what happened:
    Simon put his money where his mouth was. In 1980, he challenged Ehrlich to make a bet.
    He allowed Ehrlich to pick any five metals he wished and predicted that
    the cost of those metals would decrease by 1990 rather than – as
    Ehrlich held – climbing to heights that would prove the alarmist case
    right: that depletion of mineral resources would make some natural
    resources unaffordable. Ehrlich eagerly took the wager and, with the
    help of fellow alarmists John Harte and John Holdren, picked tin,
    nickel, tungsten, chromium and copper as its basis. Ten years came and
    went and, in 1990, the results were in: Simon won, across the board.
    Note that is White House science advisor “head up his ass” Holdren, who did in fact write in a book now out of print that the authorities would be forced to consider measures such as putting sterilization agents in the water (some people think flouride qualifies). 
    Disturbingly, it appears the elites are bound and determined to make this all come true by any means necessary. The same monied interests that once teamed up with Woodrow Wilson’s administration and  eugenicist Margaret Sanger to promote forced sterilization today fund all the most radical, race nationalist organizations committed to destroying the United States’ white majority. (That would be among others, the Rockefellers and such more recent luminaries as George Soros and Bill Gates.) 

21