It’s termed the “emotional oracle effect” — when trying to anticipate what’s going to happen in life, it helps to follow your emotions. PsyPost writes:
A forthcoming article in the Journal of Consumer Research finds that a higher trust in feelings may result in more accurate predictions about a variety of future events.
The research will also be featured in Columbia Business School’s Ideas at Work. In a series of eight studies, participants were asked to predict various future outcomes, including the 2008 U.S. Democratic presidential nominee, the box-office success of different movies, the winner of American Idol, movements of the Dow Jones Index, the winner of a college football championship game, and even the weather.
Despite the range of events and prediction horizons (in terms of when the future outcome would be determined), the results across all studies consistently revealed that people with higher trust in their feelings were more likely to correctly predict the final outcome than those with lower trust in their feelings.
The researchers explain their findings through a “privileged window” hypothesis. Professor Michel Pham elaborates on the hypothesis. “When we rely on our feelings, what feels ‘right’ or ‘wrong’ summarizes all the knowledge and information that we have acquired consciously and unconsciously about the world around us…
Read More: PsyPost
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