Are We Headed For A Future Without War?

Our vision of the future typically consists of a vast blighted landscape decimated by nuclear bombs or killer robot drones or battles to control the dwindling supply of water or oil, but a group of Norwegian researchers claim that warfare will become less and less common in coming decades. Could their simulations of a peaceful tomorrow be accurate, or is humanity doomed by aggressive urges? Via TIME:

Global conflicts have in fact been on a downward trend for the last half-century. And a group of researchers in Norway says their data indicates that the future could be even more peaceful.

In a paper soon to be published in International Studies Quarterly, Håvard Hegre, a professor of political science at the University of Oslo, claims that the number of ongoing conflicts will be halved by 2050 — with the greatest decrease coming in the Middle East.

Hegre, along with his colleagues at the Peace Research Institute Oslo, put together a statistical model that took into account factors such as infant mortality, education, youth population, ethnic make-up and conflict history. They ran the conflict simulation program 18,000 times before drawing conclusions.

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  • SoruhFrake

    I never use lol, but this article is lol… In my opinion there has been an ever increasing war with ads flooding living rooms via tv, cancer the most wanted serial-killer, with gmos playing rambo with our guts and vaccines doing every other piece of shit the others arent, wohooo autism and even more cancer!

    We are currently living in the first peaceful-genocide ever, namely that of every bugger not blessed with the title of being elitely a jerk, is targeted as government guinea pig. Wars looming outside of Europe and USA are just wars being fought for television so that we think we’re living in peace. On the other hand we’re the lab rats being killed by the food and medicine our so well intentioned leaders give us^^

    Humanity itself has always been at peace, only Idiots have been in war.

    • SoruhFrake

      Personally I prefer the war to be face-to-face if there should be one, cause then at least I know when the bullet hit me…like this I don’t know how many bullets have hit from all the crap I’ve been given up to know including vaccines as kid :p

  • alizardx

    Strangely enough, the DOD-funded study on global warming http://grist.org/article/pentagoners/ a few years ago projects a growing numbers of resource wars into the future. Note that most wars are about resources once the ideology is stripped off. And the Norwegian study doesn’t take resources or climate change into account. IOW,garbage in, garbage out. Paper should not have been accepted for publication, what were the peer-reviewers smoking?

  • BuzzCoastin

    the nature of war has changed since the atomic bomb
    now wars are fought in 3rd whirled shit-holes for the financial benefit of war mongers
    ideology wars are now fought with technology & psyops

    the territory up for grabs now is the mind and its cash
    the elites don’t need to use a military to conquer governments
    they use the Banksters for that
    what they need are compliant, docile sheeple
    and that’s the war being fought today

  • Hadrian999

    I hope it is like Robot Jox