James Howard Kunstler’s 2013 Forecast

Photo by Charlie Samuels (C)

Peak oil proponent and author (and former DisinfoCast guest) James Howard Kunstler offers grim predictions for the coming year:

Via Clusterfuck Nation:

The people who like to think they are managing the world’s affairs seem fiercely determined to ignore the world’s true condition — namely, the permanent contraction of industrial economies. They just can’t grok it. Two hundred years of cheap fossil fuel programmed mankind to expect limitless goodies forever on an upward-swinging arc of techno miracles. Now that the cheap fossil fuels have plateaued, with decline clearly in view, the hope remains that all the rackets of modernity can keep going on techno miracles alone.

Meanwhile, things and events are in revolt, especially the human race’s financial operating system, the world’s weather, and the angry populations of floundering nations. The Grand Vizier of this blog, that is, Yours Truly, makes no great claims for his crystal ball gazing (Dow at 4,000 – ha!), but he subscribes to the dictums of two wise men from the realm of major league baseball: Satchel Paige, who famously stated, “Don’t look back,” and Yogi Berra, who remarked of a promising rookie, “His whole future’s ahead of him!”

Keep reading.

9 Comments on "James Howard Kunstler’s 2013 Forecast"

  1. Ted Heistman | Jan 1, 2013 at 5:28 pm |

    Kind of reminds me of a Jehovah’s witness that keeps predicting the end of the world

    World’s Shittiest Forecaster: http://peakoildebunked.blogspot.com/2007/12/325-jim-kunstler-worlds-shittiest.html

    • We’re actually in the Long Emergency right now. It’s happening. He’s more pessimistic than necessary to be sure, but there’s plenty of hope that we’ll adjust to the changes of the post-industrial world.

      • Oh great, another mindless doomer drone

      • Eleuthero | Sep 14, 2013 at 6:05 am |

        Kunstler is a hypocrite. He flies around the world to talk about the end of fossil fuel and the subsequent disasters it implies. His carbon footprint is the size of Sasquatch. It’s like using promiscuous sexuality as a vehicle for informing the masses about the virtues of chastity.

        He also wants you to give up shopping at WalMart and Target and get your stuff at stores where you can’t afford to shop because your wages have fallen 6% in just a few years.

        I actually think the world is heading into a Malthusian crisis but this guy’s lifestyle just adds to the hastening of that day.

  2. charlieprimero | Jan 2, 2013 at 1:31 am |

    Kunstler’s Grim Prediction schtick is growing old.

    In 2003 he predicted we would all be eating kittens and burning our furniture for firewood by 2008.

    Notice that he advocates we filthy peasants live in urban rat warrens, while he lives in spacious rural New England.

    • Matt Staggs | Jan 2, 2013 at 10:13 am |

      All very good points. I like Kunstler, but he’s a bit of an elitist. You should hear him rail against tattoos as a sign of coming barbarism, and he pretty much considers the South to be full of monsters just waiting to reconstitute slavery and/or swarm upon the pristine north in search of resources. I don’t think he understands that (a) We’re an area rich with game-filled forest and an established agrarian society. Slow-roasting kittens over the charred remains of Ikea sofas is something far more likely to happen in urban, industrialized areas. and (b) We aren’t Tolkienesque Orcs sharpening our scimitars in some dank cave somewhere. There was pretty much a media blackout on Mississippi during Katrina, but we ALL helped each other out. It’s not ideal down here by any stretch, but people are people, good and bad. I think he live in upstate NY, by the way.

      • charlieprimero | Jan 2, 2013 at 10:55 am |

        I agree. I listened to his podcast religiously for two solid years back around 2008. His undertone of bigotry and elitism was irritating, but I enjoyed his fear porn. It justified the financial and efficiency lifestyle choices I was making.

        Ironically, it was while gathering raw data to defend Peak Oil from attacks by Neo-con warmongers that I discovered it was a scientific fraud.

        I think Kunstler is merely a useful idiot for watermelon environmentalism. If he were cognizant of the larger plan for NeoFeudalism, he would be more subtle, and he would be making more money with it on the “Sustainability” lecture and publishing circuit.

      • Ted Heistman | Jan 2, 2013 at 4:52 pm |

        That’s always been my view that a lot of rural people would have a leg up if Civilization were to suddenly collapse, except for things being so spread out in the country. But I don’t think it will really play out that way. Upstate NY, is actually kind of like the South in a lot of ways. Pick up trucks, fishing, country music, Farms, churches.

  3. Bruteloop | Jan 2, 2013 at 4:21 am |

    I don’t care how accurate or otherwise he may be. Any grown man who uses the word ‘grok’ should be ignored on principle.

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